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2024-12-14 01:23:30

New Zealand appoints WINSTON PETERS as Minister of Railways.TF Securities: The supply-side reform of cement has gradually entered the second stage, and the industry profits are expected to go out of the relative bottom. According to the TF Securities Research Report, the whole process of the supply-side reform of cement industry can be divided into two steps. In the first step, the effect of "reducing production" was achieved by controlling the new production capacity and promoting peak-shifting production nationwide, and the industry profits were pushed up to a new high in 2019. At present, the cement industry is gradually entering the second stage of supply-side reform, and it is expected to realize the withdrawal of actual production capacity with the help of market-oriented behaviors such as environmental protection, double carbon policy and enterprise merger and reorganization. In the short term, peak-shifting production is still the most effective means to adjust the balance between supply and demand. After entering 2025, with the gradual tightening of the policy of restricting overcapacity, enterprises are forced to withdraw from small and medium-sized production capacity by making up the indicators of overcapacity, and the industry is expected to begin to realize real capacity clearing. In 2027, it will enter the stage of deepening and perfecting carbon trading, and the effect of industry capacity optimization is expected to be further revealed. At present, the profit end of the cement industry has shown signs of stabilization. Under the dual promotion of policy-driven and self-restraint under the growth of corporate profit demands, the profit in the fourth quarter is expected to begin to walk out of the relative bottom. CONCH, Shangfeng Cement, huaxin cement, China Resources Building Materials Technology and Western Cement are recommended.Millay: Argentina seeks to reach a free trade agreement with the United States next year.


Argentine President Millai: Argentines can now trade in any currency.Lian Ping, president of the Chief Industry Research Institute of Guangkai, believes that it is expected to reduce the RRR by about 100 basis points in 2025, releasing more than 3 trillion yuan of liquidity. Among them, there is limited room for reducing the deposit reserve ratio of small and medium-sized financial institutions, and the expected RRR reduction is about 50 basis points.Everbright Securities: It is expected that the auto market will usher in the year-end impulse market in December. Everbright Securities reported on December 10 that with the introduction of preferential policies for car purchases by various auto companies at the end of the year and the continuous promotion of trade-in by local governments, it is expected that the auto market will usher in the year-end impulse market in December. Recommend the big white horse bibcock of each subdivision track, and pay attention to the sales of new models in 2025E to achieve high flexibility. 2025E intelligence will continue to become a competitive highland in the industry, paying attention to intelligent theme investment opportunities.


CITIC Securities: The supply and demand pattern may meet the turning point, paying attention to the strategic allocation value of the magnesium industry. CITIC Securities Research Report said that magnesium prices have stopped falling and stabilized recently, and magnesium as a strategic attribute of China's superior resources is expected to continue to improve. At present, there is a widespread cost inversion in factories, and the willingness to support the price by cost is enhanced, and the purchasing and storage measures are superimposed. We believe that the magnesium price is expected to open an upward channel. At present, the ratio of magnesium to aluminum is reduced to about 0.9 at the bottom, which is conducive to the accelerated promotion of magnesium alloys, and the downstream fields such as new energy vehicles, low-altitude economy, humanoid robots and solid hydrogen storage have broad prospects.Expert: Central enterprises will continue to recruit in A-shares. On the evening of December 9, Huada Jiutian, a domestic EDA leader, announced that China Electronic Information Industry Group Co., Ltd. will become the actual controller of the company. So far, the number of A-share listed companies "incorporated" by central enterprises reached 10 in 2024. The end of 2024 is an important node for central enterprises to optimize the layout of listed platforms. The Work Plan for Improving the Quality of Listed Companies Controlled by Central Enterprises previously issued by the State-owned Assets Supervision and Administration Commission of the State Council made it clear that the adjustment and revitalization of the listing platform should be basically completed by the end of 2024, and it is supported to revitalize through absorption and merger, asset restructuring and cross-market operation, or to withdraw through free transfer and equity transfer, so as to further focus on the main business and advantageous areas. Looking forward to the next layout rhythm of central enterprises in the capital market, many experts interviewed by reporters believe that the pace of "recruiting" of central enterprises in A shares will continue. In the coming period, the cases of central enterprises strengthening their main business through capital operation and giving play to their strategic support and industrial leading functions will be on the rise. (shanghai securities news)Argentine President Millay: It will take four years to close the central bank. According to the video released by the media Infobae on Tuesday, Argentine President Millay said that it will take four years to close the country's central bank. Millay predicts that the economy will grow and inflation will fall next year. When asked about the possibility of closing the Argentine central bank in 2025, he said, "We don't have time. I have always said that it will take four years, and I have only been in power for one year. "

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